A Model for Ecological Services Valuation Which Should be Considered in Analysis of Land Use Project

Jingyuan Zhu1,  Jiaming Zhu2

1. College of Finance, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu, 233030, China

2. College of Statistics and Applied Mathematics, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu, 233030, China

Abstract: This paper aims to ｃｒｅａｔｅ a comprehensive evaluation model that incorporates the cost of environ-mental degradation into the cost-benefit assessment of land development. Firstly, we use Logistic regression analysis to confirm that it is very likely to assess the environmental cost of land development projects. Se-condly, we ｓｅｌｅｃｔ polluted river, poor air quality, poorly treated wastewater and climate changes to build the Nonlinear Fitting Model Based on Fourier Transform. By giving different weights to these four factors, the cost of environmental degradation can be calculated, and then the real economic cost can be obtained by li-near addition to the economic cost. Finally, we use the model to analyze the cost-benefit of small community projects and large-scale national projects, and then takes time into consideration, the long-term cost-benefit of land development projects is forecasted by using the neural network algorithm.

Keywords: Nonlinear fitting; Logistic regression analysis; Neural network algorithms; Pearson coefficient; Environmental degradation; Cost effectivenes