Traffic Demand Forecasting Based on Four-Stage Method

Xiaonan XIE

School of Traffic & Transportation, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing, 400074, China

Abstract: Traffic demand forecasting is an significant part city planning ,which can eliminate and avoid some traffic hidden trouble in advance and traffic problems. Shihezi is one of the focus of economic and social development in Xinjiang area, also is the key development area of Xinjiang in the large-scale development in west China. In this paper, using the method of four stages, there is a result of the traffic demand forecast, which can be intuitive show planning in potential transportation volume, can be a theoretical basis of the development of city public transportation planning in Shihezi, and has practical significance.

Keywords: Traffic demand forecast; Four stage method; OD distribution matrix